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During
all the clamor over CNOOC's bid for Unocal, I was in
Europe on a road tour. For China's business sector,
this was our symbolic first entry into the international
marketplace - although there had been no lack of international
acquisitions by Chinese enterprises over the last two
years, they had all been relatively small-scale takeovers
of troubled consumer electronics and IT firms; only
petroleum was a true strategic national resource. During
my half-month long road trip, I passed through the Netherlands,
Italy, England, and France, and I read many local media
reports as well as online reports from home. The strongest
impression I got was that the two sides had different
understandings of the situation.
One of the major differences between
the Chinese and foreign positions was to whom they assigned
responsibility for the politicization of the CNOOC takeover
bid.
Domestic media spoke with one voice,
saying that the American side (the business competetor
and the government both) had politicized a matter that
was pure business, so we could not go through with our
acquisition. And in quite a number of the post-mortems
in the domestic media, you can find a feeling that the
takeover bid was "correct" from start to finish:
at the beginning of the year when CNOOC was not the
first to submit a bid, caution was correct; going in
after Chevron was correct in its decisiveness; later
on all manner of stumping was correct; and everything,
even the withdrawal at the end, was strategically temporary.
While you cannot deny that the nature
of this takeover bid gave it fame even in failure, a
question still remains: if this commercial acquisition,
reaching US$18.5 billion and taking half a year, had
proceeded to be unsuccessful, would we have been able
to admit "this was a failure"? To this day,
half a month after the resolution of the bid, CNOOC
has not publicly addressed the outcome in any way. Compared
with the way they chatted away courting the foreign
media, they have been disdainful to the public at home.
Any takeover, if it is successful,
will reveal lots of little mistakes when it is reviewed
afterwards. So when looking at our methods, we cannot
neglect to break things down afterwards, like Zhuge
Liang examining skills after a battle. From another
perspective, technical questions are easy to solve,
but attitude problems are much bigger. If we cannot
admit that this acquisition bid was a failure, how can
we think about it correctly?
What worries me is that domestically,
whether in business or in the media, we are trapped
in a problem zone: our own actions are correct from
start to finish, and everthing is rational; no one need
to assume any responsibility, since our opponents are
the ones who reacted incorrectly and irrationally. Fundamentally
we have forgotten that we are moving into the mainstream
marketplace, and at this point in time what is needed
is not someone to understand us, but business operations,
administration, and strategies that are on track with
the world.
In my opinion, if you want to call
CNOOC's takeover bid politicized, it stems in part from
something that we created ourselves; it was not entirely
the Americans' doing.
Acquisitions have their own rules,
and Chinese firms expecially who want to acquire overseas
must first answer a whole series of questions from a
foreign firm they have no understanding of. Are you
a state-owned firm? What is your relationship with the
government? Are you running at a loss domestically?
Where did you get financing for this acquisition? Is
this a competitive market price?
What made this bid different was that
in the past Chinese firms that acquired overseas had
bought capital. Whether it be Lenovo buying IBM's computer
services or TCL going in with Thompson, the target was
well-defined - specific technologies, brands, and products
- and there was no attempt to take over an entire enterprise.
But buying a company is a completely different matter,
especially when you consider that Unocal was the ninth
largest oil company in the world. If you want to get
a hold of that, you have to have a well-defined plan
to realize greater value in the future.
Americans innately oppose big business
and big government, so they were especially nervous
about CNOOC, a "big business from a big government."
CNOOC should have first taken some actions to clarify
of its goals.
In actuality, CNOOC never gave a straight,
business-level answer, but rather strongly emphasized
its uniqueness among Chinese state-owned enterprises.
This was indeed necessary, but if you don't give answers
to those fundamental questions, it will seem strange
to American businessmen. They may believe that you are
unwilling to talk business with them, and for that reason
they will only talk politics.
Even when Fu Chengyu ran a letter
titled "Why is America Worried?" under his
own name in the Wall Street Journal, there was never
any talk about how integration would occur after the
takeover, or plans for improving efficiency. Although
it did say that "Nearly 70% of Unocal's reserves
are near our exploration areas in the Asian market,
and for this reason it is an extremely suitable takeover
prospect," business strategies and operating principles
of the future company were never explained clearly in
the logic of the takeover.
CNOOC moved at an inopportune moment:
over the past few years, America had been uneasy about
the Chinese economy because of the RMB exchange rate
and problems over textiles. The name CNOOC did not come
up often in the US, so for it to suddenly put out a
US$20 billion bid came as a great surprise to Americans,
no question. CNOOC should have been fully prepared:
when Haier bid for Maytag, it invited private investors
to bid alongside it. It should have had early plans
for the resources Americans were most worried about,
like how to split off Unocal's American division. And
it should have worked on public opinion as early as
possible.
It's really too bad that after it
came up against the pressure of negative public opinion,
CNOOC overreacted as badly as it had been underprepared.
When the US made known its unease about the takeover,
CNOOC immediately explained that it could separate off
the American portions, and it would retain all workers.
But at the same time, CNOOC also said that it could
increase its bid price, preserving its unyielding sense
of inevitability.
To the American business world, this
was very hard to understand. Even in a takeover you
have to consider value. If you don't lay off workers,
and if you turn down larger profits, then there is no
reason to take over a company. No legitimate corporate
takeover would portray itself as quite so inevitable;
this would remove any area for discussion amongst competitive
bidders. The more you disregard all costs in pursuit
of an acquisition, the harder your opponent will find
it to comprehend your motives, the more he will understand
it as coming out of political goals, and the more he
will see you as an arm of the government. The entrance
of China's foreign ministry on the scene dealt another
blow to the deal.
Finally, even CNOOC's withdrawal was
done in a style typical of Chinese business. In victory,
speak of friendship, and in defeat, blame the politics
of the opposing side. Your board of directors simply
won't accept a higher price - where did such whimpering
come from? Who will want to go up against Chinese firms
in the future; they may think long and hard about politics.
This is an unfortunate precedent.
In my opinion, the reason this takeover
bid produced so many problems was that we had a vast
misunderstanding of international rules: we thought
that with capital, we could recklessly buy whatever
we wished. Having cash enables us to buy a theater ticket,
but we must not forget that within the theater there
are rules.
In addition to this, we must strengthen
supervision of state-owned companies' acquisitions and
mergers with foreign companies. In comparison to private
enterprises, state-owned firms have vaster resources
and more opportunities to enter an unfamiliar market
or sector on a much larger scale. But this advantage
can easily change into an outward impulse. If this impulse
becomes a general feeling of volatility, its negative
effects on the Chinese business arena will outweigh
the positives.
In my view, the Chinese government
unquestionably has an important role to play in the
future, but it may be a supporting role rather than
a driving role. For example, organizational experts
analyzing national risk may construct an international
information system open to industry and the public,
they may set up insurance structures for overseas investment,
collect together experience and lessons, or push marginal
sectors to unify their strategies.
At the same time we must not forget
that although the wave of global acquisitions has arrived,
the battleground is in China. To overemphasize the drama
of Haier, or CNOOC's bid for Unocal, or MinMetals, is
to lead us to a mistaken conclusion that what matters
most is China's entry onto the global stage for acquisitions
and mergers, while in fact western companies have already
been acquiring firms in China for over a decade. Domestically,
several industries have already been monopolized, and
this is more worthy of attention. By putting more energy
into this has another benefit: we have an opportunity
to formulate merger standards here rather than being
forced to act as we see others do.
As described above, the two largest
lessons we can take from CNOOC's takeover bid are first,
we must deepen our understanding of ourselves, since
I believe that Chinese enterprises abroad must not be
self-deluded like Sister Hibiscus; and second, we must
further understand the international rules. We must
master them, and then use China's great strength to
change them.
September 2005 issue
of Global Entrepreneur Magazine.
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